The Institute for Governance and Policy Analysis (IGPA) at the University of Canberra was established in January 2014 to harness the research strengths of the ANZSOG Institute for Governance (ANZSIG), the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling (NATSEM) and the Centre for Deliberative Democracy and Global Governance.
For over 20 years NATSEM has been, and remains, one of Australia’s leading economic and social policy research centres, and is regarded as one of the world’s foremost centres of excellence for microsimulation, economic modelling and policy evaluation.
NATSEM was initially established at the University of Canberra in 1993 to develop microsimulation models for the Federal Government and to undertake broad social and economic modelling and research. A major modelling task was to develop STINMOD – a model of the personal income taxation and government benefits system.
The Federal Government heavily relies upon this model through Treasury, Social Services and Employment to understand how policy impacts on families – both example families (cameos) and the broad impacts on different socioeconomic groups across the country.
NATSEM undertakes independent and impartial research, and aims to be a key contributor to social and economic policy debate and analysis Australia-wide and throughout the world using expert economic modelling of the highest quality, and supplying consultancy services to commercial, government and not-for-profit clients. Through its research NATSEM is an active contributor to social and economic policy debate and its research receives extensive media and public attention.
2016 Federal Budget
The 2016 Federal Budget is shaping up to be the most anticipated budget in decades. As a precursor to the Federal Election it provides government and opposition with an opportunity to pilot their key campaign messages and prove their credentials as the best managers of the Australian economy. The Coalition Government came to power under Tony Abbott late in 2013 promising to ‘get the budget back under control’ and to ‘start reducing debt’. The Coalition promised to achieve these outcomes with a low taxation agenda coupled with a desire to stop ‘wasteful spending’. Subsequently, the Turnbull government has focused greater attention on the productivity agenda with the launch of the National Innovation and Science Agenda and its 24 measures to drive “change to the culture of our economy” and its intention to follow the UK City Deals model Agenda as a “new vehicle” for creating partnerships between all three levels of government to drive the sustainable growth of Australian cities.
The Institute's main work is focused on public policy and governance issues in Australia and sees the annual budget as the key policy instrument of the government of the day. Each year it draws on its well-developed economic and stimulation expertise to contribute to the debate about the budget and its impact on the Australia's economic and social directions. This website will provide a pathway to our analysis and policy contributions to that debate.
For 2016, our research contribution to understanding the Federal Budget involves direct modelling and analysis of budget impacts; our Budget Luncheon attended by key government and opposition spokespeople; commentary from renowned economists, social commentators and political journalists Saul Eslake, Michelle Grattan, Tim Colebatch, Geoff Kitney and a critique of the Budget narrative on social media to understand public reactions.